Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030?
One-OffScienza3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 89.2%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto9 dic 24, 23:25 UTC2 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if a super-majority (2/3rds) of cosmologists and / or theoretical physicists agree one way or the other, according to a reputable survey, on or before the year 2030.
- If no "reputable" survey exists by the end date, then the market will resolve as NO.
- Reputable surveys have at least 100 responses and are performed by a reputable organization.
- "A version" of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis is defined as any "theory of everything" where "the universe is a mathematical object in and of itself".
- Some info on the mathematical universe hypothesis can be found here.
Mercati aperti
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
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- April 300%
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- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
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- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030??
- Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if a super-majority (2/3rds) of cosmologists and / or theoretical physicists agree one way or the other, according to a reputable survey, on or before the year 2030.