Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?
InflazioneOne-OffEconomiaAmerica Latina4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 69.2%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 39 minuti fa
27 mag 25, 23:10 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mexico experiences two or more calendar years of negative real GDP growth (i.e., a contraction in GDP) between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2030.
- The determination will be based on official annual GDP growth data published by Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) or other reputable sources such as the World Bank or the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
- If two or more years within this period show a negative percentage change in real GDP compared to the previous year, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No".
