Will Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
GeopoliticaIAMeteo2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeVaccines are safe 25.6%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mar 25, 01:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES for any answer if, before the market close date, Elon Musk makes public statements that clearly contradict the scientific consensus position described in that answer.
- Specifically:
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that climate change is not real, not happening, or not significantly caused by human activity.
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that vaccines in general are unsafe, harmful, or more dangerous than the diseases they prevent.
- Coming out against mRNA vaccines counts if and only if there's a clear scientific consensus that they are safe.
