Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 52.4%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto5 apr 26, 22:33 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will I qualify for the IMO before getting a girlfriend?
Manifold MarketsHow many top 10 Indonesia's IMO 2026 TST will qualify to IMO 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 60,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 352,8K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt14%
- Before 2027-0.6pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+0.5pt76%
- 2-1.0pt23%
- 3-0.3pt1%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No95%
- Yes+3.3pt5%
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,6K €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 203062%
- Before 2029-8.3pt21%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 275,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5K €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.9pt71%
- No29%
- Volume totale
- 306,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8K €
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
- Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 52% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030??
- Will Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.