Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 91.2%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto14 dic 24, 05:40 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PredictItRegole
The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/
- This question will resolve YES if and only if at least five of those 60 people are incarcerated for any reason as of December 31, 2026 (a little more than two years from the inception of the question).
- Update 2024-14-12 (PST): - Temporary jailing counts towards the resolution criteria - individuals only need to be physically incarcerated on December 31, 2026, regardless of conviction status (AI summary of creator comment)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026??
- Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/