Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Criminalità e giustiziaOne-Off2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.2%
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo14 dic 24, 05:40 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/
- This question will resolve YES if and only if at least five of those 60 people are incarcerated for any reason as of December 31, 2026 (a little more than two years from the inception of the question).
- Update 2024-14-12 (PST): - Temporary jailing counts towards the resolution criteria - individuals only need to be physically incarcerated on December 31, 2026, regardless of conviction status (AI summary of creator comment)