KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2029 84.5%In testa tra 11 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2029 84.5%Qualità del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
378,2 €
Open interest
142,2K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
12 ott 26, 18:00 UTC1 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Before Nov 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2029
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel departure announced?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItKash Patel out by which date?
LimitlessRegole
If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 18%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Kash Patel out by...? · September 30 50%
