KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Dec 1, 2026 12%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before Dec 1, 2026 12%Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
19,7K USD
Open interest medioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
13 lug 26, 16:00 UTC1 set 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Before Dec 1, 202612%
Before Nov 1, 20263%
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Kash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsRegole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
Si regola tramite:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.