PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%-0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
7 €
Liquidità
20,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.7% / 3.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 18:41 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Obama arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 97% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Obama arrested before 2027??
- Obama arrested before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Obama arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.