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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsCrime & Justice6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 29%-1.0%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,7 €

Liquidità

23 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

23.0% / 29.0%

Spread

26.1%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

7 gen 26, 15:001 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before Jan 1, 202729%

Regole

If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
  • If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
  • Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
  • If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
  • Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.