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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?
Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

6.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 12%-6.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

11,6 €

Liquidità

193,2 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

24 ott 25, 14:001 ago 26, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes12%

Regole

If the Supreme Court, in United States v.

Kalshi
  • Hemani, rules that the federal government may continue to bar marijuana users from buying or possessing firearms under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision that reverses, vacates, or otherwise overturns the Fifth Circuit’s decision invalidating § 922(g)(3) as applied to marijuana users, and upholds the federal prohibition on firearm possession by an “unlawful user” of a controlled substance, after Issuance and before August 1, 2026

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Regole

If the Supreme Court, in United States v.

Kalshi
  • Hemani, rules that the federal government may continue to bar marijuana users from buying or possessing firearms under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision that reverses, vacates, or otherwise overturns the Fifth Circuit’s decision invalidating § 922(g)(3) as applied to marijuana users, and upholds the federal prohibition on firearm possession by an “unlawful user” of a controlled substance, after Issuance and before August 1, 2026