Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDecember 31 19%-0.1ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ott 26, 00:43 UTC13 gen 27, 00:42 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Kash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve identically to this Polymarket market: Kash Patel out by the named outcome?
- Polymarket rules:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.