Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 42 minuti fa
14 ago 26, 01:17 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next US recession be?
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Manifold MarketsRecession in 2027?
KalshiRecession this year?
KalshiRegole
Has to be an event or consequence caused by AI that then leads to a recession.
- So a major hack of the big banks that causes a panic that leads to a recession would count.
- Also AI replacing so many jobs that there is mass unemployment that leads to a recession would also count.
- However, a simple bubble burst of AI stock leading to a recession would NOT count, as that is not AI doing an act that causes the recession; has to be a recession that results from AI actions or consequences of AI implementation.
- As recessions can have multiple causes, it just needs to be frequently cited as one of the primary causes based on media and scholarly understanding.
- I will make a judgment call if open to debate.
