Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?
One-OffScienzaHealth & MedicineWeather3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 79%
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23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto5 apr 25, 11:57 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria:
- A "YES" outcome requires that a credible source (e.g. a government agency such as the USDA-APHIS) confirms that a free-ranging wild animal in the contiguous United States has been infected by the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax), before January 1st 2027 at 00:00 GMT.
- Infections in humans do not count.
- Similarly, infections in pets, livestock, or otherwise captive or confined animals do not count.
- However, infections in feral animals (such as feral cats) will count.
- An example of what would qualify as a "YES" if it happened again, is the outbreak among deer in the Florida Keys in 2016.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 79% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027??
- Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria: