Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSolve a P3/6 in TST, RMM Day 1, or USAMO 91.7%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+13.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 minuti fa
29 lug 26, 19:54 UTC1 dic 26, 00:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of the following will I achieve?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these will I do during the 2027 USA TST cycle?
Manifold MarketsWhich cutoffs will MAA announce in the 2026-27 competition cycle?
Manifold MarketsUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiIs Earth flat?
PolymarketWill Duke University rank first overall in 2027?
ForecastExRegole
I am part of the USA team selection test cycle for the 68th IMO.
- The relevant contests for this market are TST Day 1, TST Day 2, RMM Day 1, APMO, USAMO Day 1, and USAMO Day 2.
- Here are some past contest results:
- JMO 2026 (first time making any olympiad): 627 677
- TSTST 2026: 700 007 700
- Getting swept means scoring a 0, 1, or 2 on every problem.
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 230,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 77,1K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 109,5K €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9K €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle??
- Manifold Markets quota Solve a P3/6 in TST, RMM Day 1, or USAMO al 92% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle??
- Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I am part of the USA team selection test cycle for the 68th IMO.