Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGet swept on some day 82.8%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo29 lug 26, 19:54 UTC1 dic 26, 00:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of the following will I achieve?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these will I do during the 2027 USA TST cycle?
Manifold MarketsIs Earth flat?
PolymarketUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiIs there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]
Manifold MarketsWill "Annoyingly Principled People, and what befall..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRegole
I am part of the USA team selection test cycle for the 68th IMO.
- The relevant contests for this market are TST Day 1, TST Day 2, RMM Day 1, APMO, USAMO Day 1, and USAMO Day 2.
- Here are some past contest results:
- JMO 2026 (first time making any olympiad): 627 677
- TSTST 2026: 700 007 700
- Getting swept means scoring a 0, 1, or 2 on every problem.