Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSolve at least 3 of {P2/5 (non-APMO), P4 (APMO)} 84.6%In testa tra 21 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto30 lug 26, 02:08 UTC30 giu 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
I am part of the 2027 TST.
- A solve is counted as a 5, 6, or 7 on a problem.
- Getting swept means 0 solves; sweeping means getting 3 solves (5 on APMO).
- See @/vincentWang/will-i-qualify-for-rmm-2027 for RMM 2027 qualification market.
- TST 2026: 700 700 720 77707 270776
- TSTST 2026: 770 770 770