Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2027 USAMO and MOP 72.8%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo1 giu 26, 18:02 UTC31 dic 26, 18:56 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs Earth flat?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes to any of these that I achieve.
- If I do not attend pumac, hmmt, cmimc, or arml, the corresponding questions will resolve N/A. previous results:
- Pumac 2025 17th NT, 17th Combo HMMT 2026 79th place, top 50 in algnt and combo CMIMC 2026 5th place geo, few points off of top 10 overall (176 vs 184) ARML 2026 7/10, 11 10 11 11 00 USAJMO 2026 qual (through protection) and mop 30/42
- i reserve the right to bet on this market (but of course i will try my hardest on each of these)