Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
RegolamentazioneIATecnologiaPolitica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeApr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work 54.8%In testa tra 5 esiti
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto22 mag 26, 23:08 UTC1 gen 29, 00:59 UTC
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The Guardian: AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, says Anthropic co-founder
- Sam Bowman on X (Imgur backup)
- TL;DR Jack Clark of AI lab Anthropic gave a lecture at Oxford where, among other things, he showed a slide shown in [2] which featured some of his own predictions, which was a subject of The Guardian's article in [1].
- The ones above the line are used as basis for questions in this market.
- The questions are lightly paraphrased to save space; refer to the original slide for full phrasing and see the resolution criteria below for more info.
- Notes on resolution criteria:
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true??
- Manifold Markets quota Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true??
- Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Guardian: AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, says Anthropic co-founder