Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise 100%In testa tra 7 esiti
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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In ritardo14 gen 26, 02:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these predictions from @tanya_sabrinaaa will come true in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Simon Willison taste a RIMU BERRY by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
From https://simonwillison.net/2026/Jan/8/llm-predictions-for-2026/
- If Simon publishes evaluations of his own predictions, I'll resolve accordingly.
- If no evaluations are forthcoming, I may resolve based on my own judgement.
