Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeWith rich countries living beyond their means, the risk of a bond-market crisis is growing. 88.3%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto25 dic 25, 13:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of these predictions from @tanya_sabrinaaa will come true in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRegole
Tom Standage’s ten trends to watch in 2026 - Tom Standage’s ten trends to watch in 2026
- A letter from the editor of The World Ahead
- I selected the most resolvable predictions from the article.
- Which ones will be obviously resolvable from standard media outlets in 2026?
- With luck, the fragile peace in Gaza will hold.
- Conflicts will grind on in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true??
- Manifold Markets quota With rich countries living beyond their means, the risk of a bond-market crisis is growing. al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true??
- Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Tom Standage’s ten trends to watch in 2026 - Tom Standage’s ten trends to watch in 2026