Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97.2%
Previsori
144
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto7 gen 26, 11:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
LimitlessWill the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- Only binding actions that unambiguously transfer sovereignty or establish primary/exclusive U.S. jurisdiction qualify, even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
- Non-binding statements, negotiations, MOUs, basing/access agreements, SOFA/COFA-type arrangements, leases, or commercial concessions do not qualify.
- Any U.S. rights or control existing at market creation (Jan 7, 2026, 3:11 PT) will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official statements or legal instruments from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes 50%
