Trump/gli USA acquisteranno o si approprieranno di una parte della Groenlandia?
Operazioni societarieOne-OffPolitica USA2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 92.2%
No 92.2%Previsori
1,270
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
7 gen 25, 16:02 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
LimitlessWill the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen this year 2026? ( Trump and USA related)
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the USA pass legislation to leave NATO by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland.
- If the United States acquires at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves YES.
- Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Acquisition Criteria:
- The market will resolve YES if Greenland becomes a US territory or if the US government or one of its constituent agencies acquires any portion of Greenland.
- This acquisition must involve government ownership of the land, not merely private or academic entities (for example, a science lab established by Harvard University does not qualify).
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator emphasizes that this market is about whether Greenland or a meaningful portion of it becomes part of America, not about minor acquisitions like a single building or small plot of land.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 20%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
