LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 4 set 2026, 07:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 93.5%
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
26 ago 26, 13:051 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
1.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
3.
- Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.
An announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.
Non-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
3 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 7%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 8 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 7% · 3 piattaforme · 8 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 86%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 93%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- Limitless quota No al 94% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- Limitless liquida questo mercato come segue: <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt.