FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 90%
No 90%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
978 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
6
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump or his family benefit financially from US control of Venezuela by end of year?
Manifold MarketsWill the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This event predicts whether the United States will exercise sovereign control over any new portion of Greenland's territory at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, “control” means formal transfer of sovereignty or governance authority over Greenland to the United States.
- Qualifying U.S. jurisdiction or control that already existed before this market was created will not count as new qualifying control.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official treaties, legislation, or executive actions by the U.S. and Danish/Greenlandic authorities confirming such a transfer.
- If Greenland is formally placed under U.S. sovereign control during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
