KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore January 21, 2029 23%
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
26K €
Liquidità
480,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
26.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.7%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 24 minuti fa
9 gen 25, 18:0021 gen 29, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before January 21, 202923%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before January 21, 2029
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Alta | 96% | — | 14,3K € | 210,3K € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta paginaPiù attiva | Alta | 23% | — | 26K € | 480,4K € | 24 minuti fa | |
| Kalshi82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Alta | 16% | — | 215,5 € | 717,6K € | 24 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 95% | — | 0 € | 0 € | 24 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 94% | — | — | — | 5 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets78% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 95% | — | — | — | 38 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 91% | — | — | — | ieri | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
96%
4%
100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale30,8 Mln €
Volume 24h14,3K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Kalshi
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
0.3%5m
16%
-0.3%6%
0%
83 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità
Volume totale4,4 Mln €
Volume 24h215,5 €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Limitless
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.6%
5.5%
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale22K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
2a
91%
9%
Previsione della comunità1259 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.1%
5.9%
Previsione della comunità13 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
2a
95.3%
4.7%
Previsione della comunità41 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.3k95.4%POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaper7 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaper7 gg fa$1.1k93.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No17 gg fa
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No17 gg fa$1.5k95.4%POLYMARKETNoNxbYid23 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoNxbYid23 gg faTrend del volume
$29.6k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
134,8K €August 31: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
122,6K €August 31: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
122,1K €United Russia (ER): 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
3,8K €Before 2027: 23%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
873,5 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHIWill any US state secede before 2050?
659,3 €Sì: 21.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.