KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before January 21, 2029 23%
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
504,7 €
Liquidità
459K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
22.0% / 24.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
9 gen 25, 18:00 UTC21 gen 29, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
KalshiWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurDoes the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Times
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Important Information: Any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? · Before January 20, 2029 23%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US take control of any part of Greenland??
- Kalshi quota Before January 21, 2029 al 23% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US take control of any part of Greenland??
- Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US take control of any part of Greenland??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will the US take control of any part of Greenland??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless.