Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Materie primeTecnologiaOne-OffPolitica commercialeOperazioni societariePoliticaPolitica USAGeopoliticaCinaEuropa2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97%
Previsori
17
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
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Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
18 gen 26, 15:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland before January 1, 2027.
- Acquisition must be formally recognized through one of the following: (1) a binding international agreement transferring sovereignty from Denmark to the U.S., (2) Greenlandic independence followed by a binding agreement transferring sovereignty to the U.S., or (3) effective U.S. military control and international recognition of U.S. sovereignty.
- The resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department, Danish government, Greenlandic government, and/or UN recognition of territorial status.
- Trump has announced he would institute "very high" tariffs against Denmark if it resisted attempts to make Greenland a U.S. territory, and refused to rule out economic or military action against Denmark.
- Trump announced a 10% tariff on Denmark and seven other European countries, with duties increasing to 25% by June 1 if a deal is not reached.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 19%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term? · No 95%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
