Will Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Politica commercialeOne-OffPolitica USAGeopoliticaEuropaPoliticaOperazioni societarieElezione2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 58.6%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 gen 26, 00:23 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will President Trump say are taking advantage of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say that you will die if you vote Democrat? (before 2029)
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump publicly states that Iceland should be a part of the USA before January 1, 2029.
- This includes statements made in speeches, press conferences, social media posts, interviews, or official communications.
- The statement must explicitly indicate that Iceland should become part of the United States (e.g., "Iceland should be a U.S. state," "we should acquire Iceland," or similar language).
- Trump's nominee for ambassador to Iceland joked with lawmakers that Iceland will become the 52nd U.S. state, signaling the administration's broader interest in Arctic territories.
- Iceland is situated along the GIUK Gap, a strategic chokepoint for surveillance in the Arctic region whose name references the first letters of Greenland, Iceland, and the United Kingdom.
