Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Corporate ActionsTecnologiaOne-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsGeopolitica3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98%
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto8 gen 26, 02:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
LimitlessWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- Acquisition would require either: (1) a formal transfer of sovereignty from Denmark to the United States through a treaty or purchase agreement ratified by the U.S. Senate or Danish Parliament, or (2) effective U.S. military control over some or all of the territory.
- The market resolves NO if no such transfer occurs by the deadline.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department or other U.S. government agencies.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Effective military control is defined as: The US government making an official statement that they have control over Greenland via the US Military.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026??
- Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria