Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Operazioni societarieTecnologiaOne-OffPoliticaPolitica USAGeopolitica2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto8 gen 26, 02:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
LimitlessWill Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States of America abduct another head of state in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUnited States of America v. Apple Inc. ⚖ Antitrust Case 2:24-cv-04055
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- Acquisition would require either: (1) a formal transfer of sovereignty from Denmark to the United States through a treaty or purchase agreement ratified by the U.S. Senate or Danish Parliament, or (2) effective U.S. military control over some or all of the territory.
- The market resolves NO if no such transfer occurs by the deadline.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department or other U.S. government agencies.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Effective military control is defined as: The US government making an official statement that they have control over Greenland via the US Military.
