Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Operazioni societarieOne-OffPoliticaPolitica USAGeopoliticaRussia / Ucraina2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95%
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41
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binary
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Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
8 mar 25, 13:25 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Greenland is currently an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark with a population of about 56,000 people.
- The island has strategic importance due to its location in the Arctic, mineral resources, and potential shipping routes as polar ice melts.
- In 2019, former U.S. President Donald Trump expressed interest in purchasing Greenland, which was firmly rejected by both Danish and Greenlandic officials.
- Recent polling shows that approximately 85% of Greenlanders oppose becoming part of the United States, with only 6% in favor and 9% undecided.
- Greenland's government has consistently stated that the territory is "not for sale and never will be for sale."
- The United States maintains a military presence in Greenland at Thule Air Base, established during the Cold War.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 19%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
