Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
14 gen 26, 02:42 UTC20 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Manifold MarketsWill Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
Manifold MarketsWill France declare a state of emergency?
KalshiWill Colombia declare a state of internal commotion in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Tump has a habit of declaring things on social media that may or may not be true and may or may not happen.
- Before the end of his term, will he declare a state to not be part of the US.
- It has to be more forceful than just saying that the people in the state aren't even Americans.
- I won't bet on this market
