Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 75%
Previsori
43
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto4 feb 24, 22:45 UTC1 feb 29, 10:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PredictItRegole
Martial Law following definitions laid out here.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martial_law_in_the_United_States?wprov=sfla1
- This question is only about nationwide martial law, not about a local or isolated martial law declaration in one city or one state.
- There might be a situation where enough states are in martial law for it to de facto count as federal (e.g. all states of the contiguous United States).
- I'll let the comment section decide in that edge case.
- If trump declares martial law in only words, but doesn't act upon it.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)??
- Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Martial Law following definitions laid out here.