Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Will Syria be Democratic? 28.6%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
9 dic 24, 22:54 UTC1 gen 27, 02:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Syria by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.
- Recent developments include the overthrow of Assad's government and the emergence of new leadership under Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), an Islamist group that has announced plans for a transitional government and free elections.
- The country faces significant challenges in establishing stability and governance while managing various ethnic, religious, and political factions.
- Resolution Criteria
- Markets will resolve based on the following criteria as of December 31, 2026:
- Secular: Resolves YES if Syria's constitution and legal system explicitly separate religion from state governance.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Predictions about Syria in 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota Will Syria be Democratic? al 29% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Predictions about Syria in 2026?
- Predictions about Syria in 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Predictions about Syria in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.