Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 92.1%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto31 gen 25, 12:51 UTC2 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiWill more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Will the government of Syria formally recognize Israel before the end of the year 2026?
- For purposes of this market, the "government of Syria" will be considered whichever government controls the city of Damascus.
- I will not bet on this market.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026??
- Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will the government of Syria formally recognize Israel before the end of the year 2026?