Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 96.2%
Previsori
144
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
16 nov 23, 19:02 UTC31 gen 27, 23:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is Attention All You Need?
Manifold MarketsWill the "Attention Is All You Need" Paper be given the Test of Time Award in NeurIPS 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2043?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market simulates the wager between Jonathan Frankie (@jefrankle) and Sasha Rush (@srush_nlp)
- Details can be fount at https://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/
- On January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmarked tasks in natural language processing.
- [image]Other markets on the same:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/HanchiSun/is-attention-all-you-need?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ICRainbow/on-january-1-2027-a-transformerlike?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)
