KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 90%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
444,5 €
Liquidità
14,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
24 ago 26, 20:48 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Gemini Pro model release
KalshiWill Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsGemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date
Manifold MarketsWhen will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If Google releases Gemini 4 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Gemini
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Google release Gemini 4??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Google release Gemini 4??
- When will Google release Gemini 4? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will Google release Gemini 4??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Google releases Gemini 4 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato When will Google release Gemini 4??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.