Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSouth China Sea 13%In testa tra 20 esiti
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 33 minuti fa
2 nov 23, 10:52 UTC31 dic 30, 15:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Eco currency start being used in the ECOWAS?
FutuurNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Nuclear tests and military drills ar not considered valid
- Only a nuclear bomb detonated during an open conflict
- Users can add a city or a country or a region
