Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAfter March 31 2026. 100%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mar 26, 10:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:00 UTC
Trend
100%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsIs Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?
Manifold MarketsTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- Mojtaba Khamenei was born on September 8, 1969, making him currently 56 years old.
- This market resolves based on the date of his death, if it occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by credible international news sources reporting his death, including major news agencies (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) or official Iranian government announcements.
- The market will resolve to whichever answer bracket corresponds to the date his death is confirmed.
- Mojtaba Khamenei was announced as Iran's new supreme leader on March 8, 2026, following the assassination of his father Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die??
- Manifold Markets quota After March 31 2026. al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die??
- In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria