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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 31 ott 2026, 02:49 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 3%
Before Jan 1, 2027 3%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
10,5K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
7 lug 26, 22:15 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Before Jan 1, 20273%
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?
Manifold MarketsRegole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostDonald TrumpFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationABCthe Associated PressNBCAxiosThe White HouseOffice of the Supreme Leader of IranThe New York TimesPoliticoCNNReutersCBSBloomberg News
- A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.