Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
One-OffMiddle EastUS PoliticsElezioneGeopoliticaPolitica3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 80.5%
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39
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mar 26, 15:15 UTC1 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- Mojtaba Khamenei was announced by the Assembly of Experts as the new supreme leader on 8 March 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Mojtaba Khamenei remains Iran's supreme leader on 1 January 2027.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer the supreme leader by that date due to death, removal, resignation, or any other reason.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from Iran's government or credible international news sources confirming his status as supreme leader on the specified date.
- An election for the third supreme leader of Iran was held in early March 2026, following the assassination of Ali Khamenei on 28 February 2026 during the 2026 Iran war.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027??
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria