PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 26%+2.5ptIn testa tra 15 esiti
Qualita del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
44,5K €
Liquidità
167K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoComments
417
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
9 mar 26, 22:151 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
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Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.8pt100%
- August 25+1.1pt97%
- August 31+1.0pt89%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 502,7K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.9pt69%
- October 31-0.5pt42%
- September 3027%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- August 31100%
- July 31-1.4pt0%
- Volume totale
- 420,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 205,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)+2.1pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt88.1%
- Yes-1.0pt11.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,5K €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+9 altri esiti
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 26% al 23 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).