In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved?
One-OffScienzaHealth & Medicine3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 53.5%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto15 apr 26, 03:42 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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KalshiRegole
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.
- They are currently debuting their services, which they claim to be much higher quality than other organizations, but they have yet to preserve any clients.
- This market resolves to YES if, in 2029, Nectome publicly releases data or is independently verified to have achieved an ideal preservation rate of 75% or higher for its attempted preservations in the last 12 months or at least 10 total attempted preservations, whichever is higher.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- (Thus, in June of 2029, if Nectome releases a report indicating that they only had 2 clients that failed to fully perfuse, out of 20 total, that would resolve YES.
- If they have a terrible 2027, but evidence shows they got their act together and had all 14 perfusions in 2029 go ok, that would also be YES.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.