Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 60.5%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto13 feb 23, 18:26 UTC1 gen 76, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
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KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegole
The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead.
- For a positive resolution, the restored subject must be awake, be able to communicate, and live for at least one month.
- For purposes of this market, successfully uploading the subject's mind digitally such that the subject is commonly believed to be conscious and retains ~50% or more of the memory function that they would have had at death is sufficient for a positive resolution.
- Companion Markets:
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
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KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 61% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075??
- Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2076.
- Come viene liquidato Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead.