Previsione della comunità attuale
Finite-time blow-up 91.3%+21.2ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+58.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
5 set 26, 14:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegole
For this market to not resolve N/A, all of the following must be true:
- Anthropic PBC must have released a proof of the Navier-Stokes problem
- They must claim (and it must be widely accepted) that the proof was primarily authored by one of their AI models.
- That proof must have been released before January 1, 2027.
- The proof must be accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.
- If one of these conditions are not met before January 1, 2027, this market resolves N/A.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Navier-Stokes is solved by Claude this year, what will be its solution??
- Manifold Markets quota Finite-time blow-up al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Navier-Stokes is solved by Claude this year, what will be its solution??
- If Navier-Stokes is solved by Claude this year, what will be its solution? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato If Navier-Stokes is solved by Claude this year, what will be its solution??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: For this market to not resolve N/A, all of the following must be true: