Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore 2050 37%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ott 25, 15:19 UTC1 gen 50, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
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FutuurForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve when Wikipedia removes Gaza from its "list of genocides" pages and stops identifying it as a genocide.
- Then all dates after the current date resolve YES and all dates before resolve NO.
- Specifically, the market will resolve if:
- The English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gaza genocide" is either deleted, renamed to a title that does not include "genocide" (e.g., "Gaza conflict," "Israel-Hamas war allegations," or similar without the term "genocide" directly asserting it), or its lead section (the first paragraph) is fundamentally altered to remove the assertion that the conflict is a genocide.
- The "Gaza genocide" entry is removed from the English Wikipedia article "List of genocides."
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"??
- Manifold Markets quota Before 2050 al 37% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"??
- By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria