Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore 2050 70.3%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
81
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ott 25, 21:15 UTC1 gen 50, 22:13 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?
Manifold MarketsGaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve when Wikipedia stops identifying Gaza as a genocide for a 168 hour period.
- Then all dates after the current date resolve YES and all dates before resolve NO.
- Specifically, the market will resolve if:
- The English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gaza genocide" is either deleted, renamed to a title that does not include "genocide" (e.g., "Gaza conflict," "Israel-Hamas war allegations," or similar without the term "genocide" directly asserting it), or its lead section (the first paragraph) is fundamentally altered to remove the assertion that the conflict is a genocide.
- This needs to hold for a week.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide??
- Manifold Markets quota Before 2050 al 70% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide??
- By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria