KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 5 95%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
374,1 €
Liquidità
5,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
1 set 26, 18:00 UTC6 ott 26, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiTarget Foot Traffic in September
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketRegole
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 altri esiti
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Kalshi quota At least 5 al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) dovrebbe risolversi il 6 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.