KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 5 79%-10.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,9K €
Liquidità
8,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
18 set 26, 17:00 UTC29 set 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketRegole
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt7%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 656,7K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 59,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 525,7K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt75.3%
- Yes+5.0pt24.8%
- Volume totale
- 10,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 410K €
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+12.9pt88%
- September 30+26.5pt56%
- September 221%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.3pt13%
- Save the Children+0.1pt10%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029+3.0pt73%
- Before Jul 1, 2028+3.0pt68%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt56%
+10 altri esiti
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi quota Above 5 al 79% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) dovrebbe risolversi il 29 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.