KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 150 81%+2.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
22,5K €
Liquidità
24,5K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
18 set 26, 16:30 UTC29 set 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 657,4K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 59,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 539,1K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-4.0pt76.2%
- Yes+4.0pt23.8%
- Volume totale
- 10,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 408,6K €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+0.7pt96%
- September 3090%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 257,4K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 140,9K €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+4.0pt39%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt27%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt14%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi quota Above 150 al 81% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) dovrebbe risolversi il 29 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.