GeminiDati verificati limitatiProbabilità implicita attualeBefore January 01, 2027 51%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,1K €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
50.0% / 52.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
8 apr 26, 19:472 gen 27, 4:00
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before January 01, 202751%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before January 01, 2027
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto83% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 44% | — | 1,6K € | 164,9K € | 17 minuti fa | Apri → |
| GeminiQuesta paginaPiù attiva | Media | 51% | — | 2,1K € | 0 € | 17 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
1.0 pts5m
-1.0pt43.6%
+4.0pt16.8%
+0.5pt12.9%
+4 altri esiti
77 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale123,2K €
Volume 24h1,6K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.