GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 13 set 2026, 06:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before January 01, 2027 12.5%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,2K €
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoTrader
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
8 apr 26, 19:47 UTC2 gen 27, 04:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027?
ForecastExWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? · No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 80%