PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 26%-0.5%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
306,1 €
Liquidité
14,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
29 déc. 25, 22:0531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
December 3126%
Marchés Associés
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
57,5 k €December 31: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
43,4 k €December 31: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
3,9 k €December 31: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will there be a dark horse run in the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
2,7 k €Yes, and they will reach quarter-finals: 85%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
2 k €Oui: 9.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?
1,1 k €Before Jan 1, 2027: 53%
KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%Blockchain.News
Zelensky warns of major Russia strike as Polymarket holds RFK Jr at 49%Blockchain.News
Zelenskyy touts repeat Ufa strike as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40.55%Blockchain.News
Ukraine reports Crimea strikes as Polymarket puts 2026 recapture odds at 13.5%Blockchain.News
UN report on POW abuses lifts Polymarket Crimea recapture odds to 14%Blockchain.News
Dnipro strike hits Ukraine as Polymarket raises Crimea recapture odds to 13.5%Blockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Stepnohirsk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Stepnohirsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.