PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 71%-1.0pt
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
791,2 €
Liquidité
30,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
18.0% / 20.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
4
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 mai 26, 17:42 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Chasiv Yar will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume 24h
- 231 k €
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- No meeting before 2027+0.5pt91.2%
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- No+0.1pt99%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 56,9 k €
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- 325–339+0.5pt37.1%
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- China-1.0pt54.9%
- No meeting by December 31-2.0pt33.3%
- Gulf country+1.4pt3.9%
+12 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 71% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).